1) One poll has undecided voters at 14 percent on the last weekend
3) Obama frequently outpolled his final result in primaries, which might have many causes but might also indicate that he has difficulty closing the sale.
4) The argument in the past two weeks has shifted, such that many undecided voters who are now paying attention are hearing about Obama’s redistributionist tendencies at exactly the right moment for McCain.
5) The tightening in several daily tracking polls indicates a modest surge on McCain’s part
8) What happened with the Joe the Plumber story is that Obama has now been effectively outed as a liberal,
9) The fire lit under Obama’s young supporters in the winter was largely due to Iraq and his opposition to the war. The stunning decline in violence and the departure of Iraq from the front page has put out the fire
10) Hispanic voters, who are always underpolled, know and appreciate McCain from his stance on immigration