The turf war in the Iraqi
Shi'ite regions has several templates. Iraq's
future as a unitary state; the parameters of
acceptable federalism, if any; attitude towards
the US; control of oil wealth; overvaulting
political ambitions - all these are intertwined
features of a complex matrix.
Tehran would be gratified that in
any case it has made the point that it possesses
awesome influence within Iraq. Anyone who knows
today's anarchic Iraq would realize that
triggering a new spiral of violence in that
country may not require much ingenuity, muscle
power or political clout.
to be able
to summarily cry halt to cascading violence, and
to achieve that precisely in about 48 hours, well,
that's an altogether impressive capability in
political terms. In this case, the Iranians have
managed it with felicitous ease, as if they were
just turning off a well-lubricated tap.
Cheney
must be furious that Tehran torpedoed the entire
US strategy for Big Oil.